Well my friends, today is a sad day in the weather world. I was informed this evening of the loss of the QuickSCAT Satellite. This is really gonna throw a monkey into the fire now due to, we will not have any coverage of a scatometer until at least 2015 or 2016 when the next generation scatormeter will be launched. This past week Mr Bill Porenza was the guest on the Barometer Bob show and he talked of all this and his fears. I think that I can speak for us all when I say, HELP WE NEED THIS NOW!
QICKSCAT GOES DOWN
Well here it is almost Thanksgiving so I would like to wish all of you a very happy and safe Thanksgiving, before I get into the weather here and about.
Well I don’t think some of you will like what I am about to say so you may wanna go south for the winter, or the time being anyways. Today I was looking around at some of the weather precip models and low and behold There will be a touch of the white stuff for thanksgiving. Where you may ask? I am not gonna tell ya hehe. just joking. From what I could see maybe northern ILL and IN could be seeing some. maybe mixing in with some rain as well. I do not think it will be a white Chi town Turkeyday but maybe a little slick.
As for us here on the east coast, namely NJ? There will be a pesky low pressure area moving it’s way up the east coast. I do not feel as it will be anything like the one of 2 weeks ago, being it will be far enough off shore by the time it reaches the NJ Area, However? and this is a big IF, some of the model runs have the low ramping up by the time it gets to around Maine. So even though our local NWS is calling for rain and showers starting Wednesday Night, I feel as it will hold off until Late Friday into Saturday. Sorry fokes I know just in time for the home bound drive. but hey be happy the temps should be holding in the 50’s and lows in the 40s to upper 30’s for here on the shore.
In closing as I said I hope everyone will have a very nice and peaceful thanksgiving
John
Echo Of Thunder Weather
Well it was a long and dull Saturday, did however get some things done.
I had a short chat with Bret Adair from Alabama storm chasers today. I asked him if it he would allow me to use his stream on echo of thunder and he agreed Thank You Brett. Your the man.
Now on to the weather.
Very beautiful here in NJ today. Mid 50’s with just a few afternoon passing angel hair clouds with a cobalt sky. so beautiful it was. Better than it was from Texas into Ms today. they are now catching that Low pressure area along with the warm front. as for bringing any svr weather to the areas? Notta
SPC AC 220046
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 PM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
VALID 220100Z – 221200Z
…NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST…
…CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST…
SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY JUST S OF THE LA COAST IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INLAND TO OVER SERN MS BY 22/12Z. ATTENDANT WARM FRONT /NOW 50-100
NM S OF THE MS/AL/FL PNHDL COASTS/ WILL APPROACH THE COAST LATE IN
THE PERIOD WITH TSTMS CONCURRENTLY MOVING/DEVELOPING NWD/NEWD WITHIN
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL WAA REGIME. THE MAJORITY OF TSTMS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ABOVE A SHALLOW NEAR-SURFACE
INVERSION WITH ANY MORE SUBSTANTIAL SURFACE-BASED SEVERE THREAT
REMAINING OFFSHORE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
..MEAD.. 11/22/2009
That is straight from the SPC day one. Looking at the grlevel there is a few nice cells just coming onshore just west of Pensacola Fla. “Sorry no graphics due to my host is acting up.”
I tend to be in agreement with the SPC. I would have to say right now. rain. But I would not 100% rule out a stray thunderstorm with some small hail. We all know there is always that slight chance.
Well our local met on TV said maybe a snow showers to the North and West of the City for Friday/ He means New York City By the way. From what I have seen tonight of the GFS NAM and a few other models plus looking at a few other cities and there forecasts all I cam say is this. “I’m dreaming of a white thanksgiving?” that’s right my friends I said it S N O W but good news. Not for me hehehe.
I am thinking more in western NY and Pa. for Friday and Oh and Mi for Thanksgiving day. How much? I am not going to go out that far on the limb and say right now. I will say this. I do not think it will hinder your Thanksgiving that much or your Shopping that Friday. But My advice is this. Monitor your local National Weather Service for any and all information on this upcoming weather.
Have a great one my friends and remember?
Look Ahead or you could be dead
John
Well what a long day this has been. After a wet and rainy nite I woke up to one of New Jersey’s most beautiful fall day. Mid 50’s and sunny. on a scale of 1 to 10 I would give it a 7.5. 7.5 only because it was a little cool to be at the beach haha.
Well with that said on to the good stuff. I got playing around with USTREAM today. In the back of my mind I have always wanted to do some weather streaming on the site. Being here in NJ and well on the dreaded dialup that is very hard much less impossible to do, so I opened an account with them. I hope I can find a chaser or spotter that will be willing to give it a try. Might get more people to come and take a look see at the site. With Winter time here and Hurricane season done on the 30th that means a very slow time for weather sites. I feel as maybe if I can get someone that is willing to stream there cam on the site. be it a simple thunderstorm or shower or some snow or blizzard that may help to get some fokes to come and look.
Maybe just a dream but really would like for echoofthunder.com to be one of the better weather sites on the net.
Well that mess is still coming out of texas. looked a couple of times in the day and saw flash flood warnings in and around corpus cristi texas. about 8pm edt I looked again and it had worked its way up to the houston area. I figure Sunday it should be up around the panhandle of Fla. Depending on the caps and the temps they may have a few rumbles of thunder. Just my feeling though.
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 PM CST FRI NOV 20 2009
VALID 221200Z – 231200Z
…NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST…
…SYNOPSIS…
UPR TROUGH OVER E TX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND BECOME ABSORBED INTO
THE NRN STREAM OVER THE TN/OH VLYS BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
UPSTREAM…STRONG IMPULSE DIGGING SEWD TO THE S OF THE ALEUTIANS
WILL ARRIVE ONSHORE THE PAC NW EARLY SUNDAY…THEN INTO THE
NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES BY 12Z MONDAY.
…SERN GA/NRN FL…
SFC LOW ATTENDANT WITH THE DEAMPLIFYING UPR TROUGH WILL WEAKEN WITH
TRAILING PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH/CDFNT SETTLING SEWD TOWARD NWRN FL LATE
SUNDAY AFTN. MORNING TSTM CLUSTERS/LINES MOVING INTO CNTRL/SRN GA
WILL LIKELY REINFORCE THE E-W ORIENTED BAROCLINIC ZONE ALONG THE
GA/FL BORDER.
SOME RECOVERY OF LLVL MOISTURE WILL OCCUR OVER NRN FL IN WAKE OF
MORNING PCPN…BUT FCST SOUNDINGS EXHIBIT POOR LAPSE RATES AND
BUOYANCY WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED. NONETHELESS…UNTIL THE LOW AND
MID-LVL WIND FIELDS BEGIN TO RELAX DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE
PD…THERE WILL BE A NON-ZERO THREAT FOR AN ISOLD STG/SVR TSTM
ACROSS NRN FL/SERN GA. SUFFICIENT 0-1KM SHEAR WILL BE PRESENT TO
SUPPORT AN ISOLD AND BRIEF TORNADO. WIDESPREAD SVR TSTMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.
..RACY.. 11/21/2009
I still think maybe they will. have to wait and see.
Until tomarrow have a good evening all, and hopefully we will be streaming soon.
John
Well Was a quiet evening here tonight. Listened to the Barometer bob show and was in chat. His Guest tonight was Bill Porenza and the topic was that of the Quickscat. Very interesting to say the least. That is one satellite we do not need to lose at all. Bill said it would be at least 2015 or 2016 we could launch another and even better one from Japan no less. I can not understand why we can not launch that bird here, then spend the extra money to send it up from another country.
Well right now I am sitting here watching the GRLevel 3. Not liking what I cam seeing coming off the southern tip of texas. A large area of thunderstorms. Just happy the SSTs are rather low.
grl
This system however will slowly work its way into Ala and Fla Saturday and Sunday then should be up here by mid week with some more rain. All I be needing huh? But what worries me is the next 2 systems after that. From what I have been seeing and hearing these lows could bring 30 to 40 knot winds to my area long about the end of the month. Going to have to wait and see what plays out. Myself I really have not been a firm believer in models. 3 to 5 days out yes but more than that. I take a wait and see what is what look.
well I am off to bed.
be safe and remember look ahead or you could be dead
John
Well I have decided to add Wordpress here to the site. Not sure how well it will work or if I will keep it. Time will tell.
Now a little about me and Http://www.echoofthunder.com
1st off my name is John, and I live in New Jersey, and I have a great love of the weather. Be it a simple thundershower to a all out hurricane.
I really got into this in the early 90’s when I was living in Mississippi and was in with skywarn. before then I had well done something kinda stupid, chases on my own. Well after that I had the bug. Every chance I got I would be in the field or out at the NWS watching and learning. Then in 1999 I had the chance to move to NJ for reasons I will not go into here. As for weather up here was kind of dull, even though in Sept of that year we did have Tropical Storm Floyd. What fun that was. after that I kind of lost that wx bug up until 2005 when I finally got my love of weather back. Ever since then it’s been full speed ahead. Watching weather patterns and chasing when I can, which in NJ is not as much as I would like. I had my 1st site on a El Cheap-O free site with a ton of popups but in time I broke down and bought a domain Echoofthunder.com, then redesigned the whole site into what it is today. Now I spend a lot of my time watching the weather not only in the US but all over the world. From May to the end of Nov my main focus is hurricanes, but I do love watching the thunderstorms in the mid west in the spring. Got a little tired of the NWS based radar so now have added GRLevel3 to my site. Being a little limited on my bandwidth I only will use it on the site in times of a weather out brake such as we had with Ida and then the nore easter that ran up the east coast. In time I do hope to have it up 24/7.
Also on the site you will hear the audio stream of WRBN.NET with Barometer Bob, who I credit with so much of what I have learned of Hurricanes and weather Patterns. Stiff that I knew but did not know of why or how they form. Thank You Bob.
I do hope that you will take a little time and drop on by and give it a look see. everything is free, just remember to click the Google adsence Who know’s you might be helping to upgrade some of the site in time.
Sincerly
John
Echo Of Thunder